President
Barack Obama walked into the Oval Office with a veritable halo over his head.
In the eyes of his backers, he could say or do no wrong because he had
evidently descended directly from heaven to return celestial order to our
fallen world.
Oprah declared his tongue to be "dipped in the unvarnished truth."
Newsweek editor Evan Thomas
averred that Obama "stands above the country and above the world as a sort
of a God."
But when it comes to health care reform, with every passing day, Obama
seems less God and more demagogue, uttering not transcendental truths, but
bald-faced lies. Here are the top five lies that His Awesomeness has told--the
first two for no reason other than to get elected and the next three to sell
socialized medicine to a wary nation.
Lie One: No one will be compelled to buy coverage.
During the campaign, Obama insisted that he would not resort to an
individual mandate to achieve universal coverage. In fact, he repeatedly
ripped Hillary Clinton's plan for proposing one. "To force people to buy
coverage," he insisted, "you've got to have a very harsh penalty." What will
this penalty be, he
demanded? "Are you going to garnish their wages?" he asked Hillary in one
debate.
Yet now, Obama is behaving as if he said never a hostile word about the
mandate. Earlier this month, in a
letter to Sens.
Max Baucus, D-Mont., and Ted Kennedy, D-Mass., he blithely declared that
he was all for "making every American responsible for having health insurance
coverage, and making employers share in the cost."
But just like Hillary, he is refusing to say precisely what he will do to
those who want to forgo insurance. There is a name for such a health care
approach: It is called TonySopranoCare.
Lie Two: No new taxes on employer benefits.
Obama took his Republican rival, Sen.
John McCain, to the mat for suggesting that it might be better to remove
the existing health care tax break that individuals get on their
employer-sponsored coverage, but return the vast bulk--if not all--of the
resulting revenues in the form of health care tax credits. This would
theoretically have made coverage both more affordable and portable for
everyone. Obama, however, would have none of it, portraying this idea simply
as the removal of a tax break. "For the first time in history, he wants to tax
your
health benefits," he
thundered. "Apparently, Sen. McCain doesn't think it's enough that your
health premiums have doubled. He thinks you should have to pay taxes on them
too."
Yet now Obama is
signaling his willingness to go along with a far worse scheme to tax
employer-sponsored benefits to fund the $1.6 trillion or so it will cost to
provide universal coverage. Contrary to Obama's allegations, McCain's plan did
not ultimately entail a net tax increase because he intended to return to
individuals whatever money was raised by scrapping the tax deduction. Not so
with Obama. He apparently
told Sen. Baucus that he would consider the senator's plan for rolling
back the tax exclusion that expensive, Cadillac-style employer-sponsored plans
enjoy, in order to pay for universal coverage. But, unlike McCain, he has said
nothing about putting offsetting deductions or credits in the hands of
individuals.
In other words, Obama might well end up doing what McCain never set out to
do: Impose a net tax increase on health benefits for the first time in
history.
Lie Three: Government can control rising health care costs better
than the private sector.
Ignoring the reality that Medicare--the government-funded program for the
elderly--has put the country on the path to fiscal ruin, Obama wants to model
a government insurance plan--the so-called "public option"--after Medicare in
order to control the country's rising health care costs. Why? Because, he
repeatedly claims, Medicare has far lower administrative costs and overhead
than private plans--to wit, 3% for Medicare compared to 10% to 20% for private
plans. Hence, he says, subjecting private plans to competition against an
entity delivering such superior efficiency will release health care dollars
for universal coverage.
But lower administrative costs do not necessarily mean greater efficiency.
Indeed, the Congressional Budget Office analysis last year chastised
Medicare's lax attitude on this front. "The traditional fee-for-service
Medicare program does relatively little to manage benefits, which tends to
reduce its administrative costs but may raise its overall spending relative to
a more tightly managed approach," it
noted on page 93.
In short, extending the Medicare model will further ruin--not improve--even
the functioning aspects of private plans.
Lie Four: A public plan won't be a Trojan horse for a single-payer
monopoly.
Obama has repeatedly claimed that forcing private plans to compete with a
public plan will simply "keep them honest" and give patients more options--not
lead to a full-blown, Canadian-style, single-payer monopoly. As I
argued in my previous column, this is wishful thinking given that
government programs such as Medicare have a history of controlling costs by
underpaying providers, who make up the losses by charging private plans more.
Any public plan modeled after Medicare will greatly increase this forced
subsidy, eventually driving private plans out of business, even if that
weren't Obama's intention.
But, as it turns out, it very much is his intention. Before he decided to
run for office--and even during the initial days of his campaign--Obama
repeatedly said that he was in favor of a single-payer system. What's more,
University of California, Berkeley Professor Jacob Hacker, who is a key
influence on the Obama administration, is on tape explicitly
boasting that a public plan is a means for creating a single-payer system.
"It's not a Trojan horse," he quips, "it's just right there."
But even if Obama wanted to, it is simply impossible to design a public
plan that could compete with private insurers on a level playing field and
without "feeding
off the public trough" as Obama claims.
At the very least, such a plan would always carry an implicit government
guarantee that, should it go bust, no one in the plan would lose coverage.
This guarantee would artificially lower the plan's capital reserve
requirements, giving it an unfair edge over private plans. What's more, it is
simply not plausible to expect that the plan wouldn't receive any start-up
subsidies or use the government's muscle to negotiate lower rates with
providers. If it eschewed all these things, there would be no reason for it to
exist--because it would be just like any other private plan.
Lie Five: Patients don't have to fear rationing.
Obama has been
insisting, including during his ABC Town Hall event last week, that the
rationing patients would face under a government-run system wouldn't be any
more draconian than what they currently confront under private plans. This is
complete nonsense.
The left has been trying to address fears of rationing by trotting out an
old and tired
trope,
namely, that rationing is an inescapable fact of life because every system
rations whether by price or fiat. But there is a big difference between the
two. If I can't afford caviar and champagne every night, any rationing
involved is metaphoric, not real. Genuine rationing occurs when someone else
controls access--how much of a particular good I can consume.
By that token, Obama's stimulus bill has set in motion rationing on a scale
unimaginable in the land of the free. Indeed, the bill commits over $1 billion
to conduct
comparative effectiveness research that will evaluate the relative merits
of various treatments. That in itself wouldn't be so objectionable--if it
weren't for the fact that a board will then "direct financing" toward
approved, standardized treatments. In short, doctors will find it much harder
to prescribe newer or non-standard treatments not yet deemed effective by
health care bureaucrats. This is exactly along the lines of the British
system, where breast cancer patients were denied Herceptin, a new miracle
drug, until enraged women fought back. Even the much-vilified managed care
plans would appear to be a paragon of generosity in comparison with this.
Obama has repeatedly asked for honesty in the health care debate. It is
high time he started showing some.
Shikha Dalmia is a senior analyst at Reason Foundation and writes a
biweekly column for Forbes.