Economics: The columnist who worries about Washington
not spending enough also blames the financial crisis on "free-market
fundamentalism" and "letting bankers do what they want." When did Uncle Sam
do that?
In his new book "The Great Money Binge," legendary newspaper editor
George Melloan calls attention to New York Times writer Paul Krugman's
"novel theory that the New Deal had failed to pull the country out of the
Depression during the 1930s because government had not spent enough!"
Melloan calls Krugman "even more Keynesian than Keynes himself."
The reality is different. By May 1939, even Treasury Secretary Henry
Morgenthau was renouncing John Maynard Keynes. Testifying to the House Ways
and Means Committee, as Hillsdale College historian Burton Folsom put it in
his book "New Deal or Raw Deal?," Morgenthau "bared his soul before his
fellow Democrats."
With joblessness at 20% well into FDR's second term, Morgenthau admitted:
"We are spending more than we have ever spent before and it does not work
... we have never made good on our promises ... we have just as much
unemployment as when we started . .. and an enormous debt to boot!"
At least Roosevelt's crony was honest enough to admit fault.
That can't be said of Krugman, who this week misrepresented a comparison
of the recent U.S. and Irish financial crises by Irish economists Gregory
Connor, Thomas Flavin and Brian O'Kelly.
Far from being "an Irish mirror" of American woes, as Krugman contends,
the economists repeatedly point to clear differences between the two
collapses. They write that "the situation in Ireland is dramatically
different from that in the USA, where corporate, financial regulatory,
securities and bankruptcy laws are enforced with unusual strictness and
severity by international standards."
In addition, "Three of the four main catalysts for the Irish crises are
absent from the U.S. case," they note. "An obvious big difference between
the U.S. and Irish crises is the troubled assets behind them," they said.
"At the time of the crisis, Irish banks had not yet adopted the 'originate
and distribute' model for mortgage financing which was dominant in the U.S."
"Despite its centrality to the U.S. crisis," say the authors, "this
particular moral hazard problem has no relevance to the Irish credit
crisis."
Connor, Flavin and O'Kelly caution that "the seeds of the U.S. crisis lie
in the subprime mortgage market" and stress that "it is important for
comparative purposes to note that this market is almost uniquely American."
Make no mistake: The three Irish economists are pro-regulation. But
regarding the causes of the two crises they, unlike Krugman, make it clear
that intrusive government has a lot to answer for.
They argue, for instance, that "the bailout to the U.S. financial system"
after the 1998 LTCM collapse "served to reinforce the belief that certain
participants were 'too big to fail' and would receive government support if
trouble flared. U.S. financial institutions proceeded to pursue riskier
strategies in the search for higher yield and from 2002 to 2007 they were
largely successful."
Echoing U.S. free-market commentators who blame liberal Democrats for
politicizing mortgage lending, the Irishmen note how "the subprime mortgage
market serves a politically important role in U.S. housing policy. In
effect, it supplements or replaces the burdensome government expenditures on
social-housing programs that are common in other developed nations
(including Ireland)."
The three wrongly assert that "securitized subprime mortgages represented
an entirely free-market solution to a social problem."
What exactly is "entirely free-market" about Washington politicians
bullying banks into lending to people with lousy credit ratings, while the
Fed lends money at artificially low interest rates?
Far from "letting bankers do what they want," as Krugman claims, the
worst downturn since the Great Depression largely stems from the federal
government shaming and threatening lenders into abandoning traditional,
sound banking practices so that mortgages could serve a liberal social
justice agenda. It failed horribly.
Melloan calls the success of Reaganomics "the revival of classical
economic principles that had been proven out over centuries but had been
submerged in a neo-Keynesian cant that was a cover for old-fashioned statism."
As economic historian Thomas Woods notes in his 2009 book on the
financial crisis, "Meltdown," long-suffering Japan "engaged in every single
activity that Keynesians like Paul Krugman recommended. As a result, its
slump went on for a decade and a half."
Tale-telling is a national pastime in Ireland. But in this case,
Krugman's familiar statist jig distracts us from the tale told by this
often-insightful Irish study of economic missteps.