State Finances: Oregon voters decided in January
that it was a good idea to raise taxes on the wealthy to increase
revenues. The result: Tax revenues are actually down. The lesson:
Envy doesn't pay.
Measure 66 passed 54-46 on Jan. 26 to increase funding for
"education, health care, public safety, other services." It's an
envy tax that increased the rates to 10.8% from 9% on single filers
earning $125,000 to $250,000 a year and joint filers earning
$250,000 to $500,000.
For individuals pulling down more than $250,000 a year and
families making more than $500,000, the rate went up 2 percentage
points.
The ballot initiative was pushed by aggressive public employee
unions. Supporters spent $6.9 million campaigning for Measure 66 and
67, which increases corporate taxes, telling voters that 66 alone
would raise an additional $472 million.
But that rosy projection isn't coming to pass. The Heartland
Institute's Budget & Tax News reports that "Oregon's June revenue
forecast predicted tax collections through July 2011 will come in
$577 million shy of the budgeted amount. Nearly all of the decline
is due to lower-than-expected personal income-tax collections."
This should not come as a surprise. Raising taxes on the wealthy
often does the opposite of what the political left promises.
Revenues tend to fall because soaking the rich, if we might use that
class-warfare term, stifles economic and investment activity, which
has a negative impact on the income that the left so desperately
wants to tax. Economic history shows that when states — and entire
nations — cut tax rates, tax collections grow.
Had the liberals been paying attention to the real world instead
of trying to repackage their failed ideas, they would have noticed
that taxing the wealthy erodes the tax base. People of means will
simply leave rather than pay punitive rates.
This has been the story in New Jersey. From 2004 to 2008, $70
billion in wealth left as many of the state's better educated, more
entrepreneurial and more professional residents fled a tax code that
punishes success.
The Star-Ledger of Newark reported that "the exodus of wealth .
.. local experts and economists concluded, was a reaction to a
series of changes in the state's tax structure — including increases
in the income, sales, property and 'millionaire' taxes."
Maryland has had a similar experience to New Jersey's. Increasing
the rate on the state's richest residents — 0.3% of filers — led to
Maryland losing one-third of the millionaires on its tax rolls.
Lawmakers thought their scheme would yield an additional $106
million in tax collections in 2009, but the millionaires paid $100
million less than they had the year before.
Unless Oregon voters quickly reverse their mistake, that state
will suffer the same decline as New Jersey, at one time one of
richest states in the country. They could pick up a lot from New
Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who, in addition to recently proposing a
sweeping privatization effort in his state, vetoed in May the
legislature's income-tax surcharge on million-dollar earners.
Supporters claimed the New Jersey millionaires' tax would raise
$635 million, and the Democrat-dominated legislature, deeply
invested in that myth, tried to override the veto. But it was
unsuccessful in superseding the decision of the governor, who
acknowledged during his successful campaign against incumbent Jon
Corzine that "our tax rates are oppressive and are driving residents
out of state."
Wealth is not plundered treasure for lawmakers to dish out as
political favors. Neither is it a sin that should be punished. It is
to be respected — and invested, where it is free to generate more
wealth and create jobs.
Taxing it doesn't produce more. Taxes send wealth underground and
chase it away. Rather than stoking revenues, higher rates often
reduce government income. New Jersey has learned, and Oregon is
learning. Now that they've paid for the lesson, others can get it
for free.